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Plans from Which We Deviate: The Joys of Strategic Planning for Credit Unions

By Kevin Smith

“Plans are useless, but planning is indispensable.” – Dwight D. Eisenhower.

Dwight D. Eisenhower

Dwight D. Eisenhower

Dwight D. Eisenhower, a man who knew a thing or two about logistics, once made this insightful remark about planning. Since his time, the philosophy of planning has evolved, giving us NASA’s Dr. Laura Gallaher’s version: “Plans from which we deviate.” If that isn’t the most honest and depressingly accurate description of strategic planning, I don’t know what is.

Dr. Laura Gallaher

Dr. Laura Gallaher

For credit unions, strategic planning is not just a fun corporate retreat where executives pretend to be excited about PowerPoint slides. It’s an annual exercise in educated guesswork, wishful thinking, and attempting to predict the future with the accuracy of a weather forecast in the middle of hurricane season. The real value of planning, as Dr. Gallaher puts it, is not the document itself, but the process of thinking through how to react when reality inevitably ignores our best-laid plans.

The Art of Predicting the Unpredictable

Strategic planning is often presented as a structured and rational process, but let’s be real: it’s an exercise in educated fortune-telling. Credit unions operate in a world where economic shifts, regulatory changes, technological advancements, and the ever-evolving expectations of members make long-term planning feel like building a sandcastle at high tide.

Consider the many external factors credit unions must navigate:

  • Economic downturns: Because nothing says “stable financial future” like an unpredictable market.

  • Regulatory changes: Just when you think you understand the rules, a new compliance update appears like an unwanted sequel to a bad movie.

  • Technology disruptions: Fintech startups and AI-powered everything are here to remind you that whatever system you’re using is probably already outdated.

  • Member expectations: People want convenience, security, personal service, and cutting-edge tech—all at the same time, immediately, and preferably for free.

Given these moving targets, it’s no wonder that strategic plans are more useful as artifacts of optimism rather than actionable roadmaps.

The Illusion of Control

One of the great myths of strategic planning is that it gives leaders a sense of control. You can map out all the goals, objectives, and key performance indicators you want, but at some point, reality will step in and say, “That’s cute.”

It’s much like plotting a cross-country road trip with detailed stops and scheduled breaks, only to find that half the roads are under construction, your GPS reroutes you through a cow pasture, and your car develops an unexplained rattling noise somewhere in Kansas.

At best, a strategic plan gives you a general sense of direction—like a compass in a storm. It helps credit unions establish priorities, allocate resources, and identify potential risks. At worst, it’s a highly polished document that will be revisited in a year just to confirm how wrong everyone was.

The Real Benefit: Learning to Adapt

Dr. Gallaher’s take—that planning is about preparing for deviation rather than rigidly following an agenda—is probably the most useful way to think about strategic planning. The real benefit isn’t in the plan itself but in the discussions, debates, and critical thinking that happen during the process.

Strategic planning forces leadership teams to ask important questions:

  • What will we do if interest rates rise/fall/stay the same but somehow still ruin everything?

  • How do we attract younger members who think a credit union is either a dance club or a medieval trade guild?

  • What happens if our core banking system decides to take an unscheduled vacation?

  • How do we balance personalized member service with the fact that nobody wants to talk to a human anymore?

These conversations are where the real value lies. When (not if) the unexpected happens, a credit union that has engaged in rigorous planning is better equipped to pivot rather than panic.

Embracing the Chaos

So, if strategic planning is essentially about preparing to abandon the plan, does that mean we should stop doing it? Of course not. That would be like saying you shouldn’t wear a seatbelt because you might never get into an accident.

The process of strategic planning fosters collaboration, highlights blind spots, and builds a culture of adaptability. It helps leaders anticipate challenges, even if they can’t predict the exact form those challenges will take.

Credit unions that embrace this reality—those that treat their strategic plans as living, flexible frameworks rather than sacred texts—are the ones that thrive. The key is to plan with the understanding that deviations are not failures; they’re just part of the journey.

Planning as a Necessary Illusion

Eisenhower was right—plans may be useless, but planning is indispensable. And if strategic planning for credit unions has taught us anything, it’s that success lies not in rigid adherence to a document but in the ability to adapt, respond, and move forward even when the best-laid plans go sideways.

So, go ahead and create that beautiful, color-coded, data-backed strategic plan. Just don’t be surprised when reality turns it into a “Plan from which we deviate.” After all, that’s the plan all along.

Navigating VUCA: A Survival Guide for Credit Union Board Members

The whole world is facing the need to deal with increasing VUCA. Volatility. Uncertainty. Complexity. Ambiguity. Credit unions and their boards included. Directors must flex this muscle and practice dealing with all of these to bring their organizations into a future where they can continue to make a difference in their members’ lives.

By Kevin Smith, a full set of Encyclopedia Britannica and the full interwebs.

Being a credit union board member in today’s financial landscape is a bit like being the captain of a ship caught in a hurricane – except the hurricane never ends, the maps are outdated, and the crew occasionally votes to change course mid-storm. Welcome to the world of VUCA: Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity.

If you were hoping for a stable, predictable environment where the hardest decision is approving the annual picnic budget, you may want to reconsider your life choices. But since you’re already here, let’s talk about how to steer your credit union through the financial chaos with grace, strategy, and perhaps a little gallows humor.

VOLATILITY: When Things Change Faster Than Your Meeting Agenda

Volatility in the financial services industry is as predictable as an overambitious budget proposal – inevitable and usually requiring last-minute adjustments. Interest rates swing, inflation rises and falls, fintech disruptors appear out of nowhere, and regulators seem to enjoy changing the rules just when you’ve finally understood the old ones.

How to deal with it:

1. Stay agile, not reactive. If you jump at every headline about the economy, you’ll exhaust yourself and confuse everyone around you. Instead, focus on long-term trends and build flexibility into your strategic plans.

2. Think in scenarios. When planning, don’t assume a single future. Have multiple game plans: “If rates go up, we do X. If they go down, we do Y. If the regulators invent a new acronym that changes everything, we call an emergency board meeting.”

3. Make peace with volatility. Just like how no one really knows what the stock market will do tomorrow, no one can promise you a smooth ride in the credit union world. Accept it. Adapt. And maybe invest in stress balls for your next meeting.

UNCERTAINTY: Otherwise Known as “Why Is This Happening?”

The financial world has a habit of delivering surprises. Maybe it’s a global event that upends the economy (again), or a new competitor that suddenly offers zero-fee everything. Maybe it’s just that nobody knows what younger generations actually want from a financial institution anymore.

Uncertainty is like being blindfolded and asked to hit a pinata except the pinata is moving, and you’re not sure it even exists.

How to deal with it:

1. Gather intelligence. No, you don’t need a spy network (although that would be fun). Just make sure your board is regularly reviewing industry reports, talking to experts, and keeping an eye on economic indicators. The more informed you are, the better your guesses will be.

2. Invest in adaptability. Uncertainty isn’t going away, so structure your credit union to handle surprises. Can you quickly shift resources if a new opportunity arises? Can your leadership team pivot if regulations change? If not, start building that muscle now.

3. Communicate with confidence (even if you’re guessing). Members and employees don’t want to hear, “We have no idea what’s happening.” Instead, try, “We are carefully evaluating multiple scenarios and will act in our members’ best interests.” It sounds better and prevents unnecessary panic.

COMPLEXITY: Where Everything is Connected, and Nothing is Simple

Remember when running a credit union just meant collecting deposits, making loans, and sending out newsletters with smiling stock photos? Those were the good old days.

Now, complexity rules. Regulatory requirements are labyrinthine, cybersecurity threats lurk in every corner, and technological advancements demand constant upgrades. And let’s not forget the delightful complexity of member expectations, which range from “I want personalized financial advice” to “Why can’t you just be an app on my phone?”

How to deal with it:

1. Don’t try to be an expert in everything. You’re a board member, not an omniscient being. Surround yourself with specialists – whether it’s compliance experts, cybersecurity professionals, or fintech advisors. Your job is to ask the right questions, not to have all the answers.

2. Simplify where you can. Complexity is inevitable, but unnecessary complexity is a choice. Look for ways to streamline governance, decision-making, and member services. If your processes resemble a Rube Goldberg machine, it might be time for a redesign.

3. Leverage technology wisely. Yes, AI, automation, and digital banking are important. No, you don’t need to invest in every shiny new tool that crosses your path. Be strategic – what actually benefits your members and makes operations more efficient? If the answer isn’t clear, it’s probably not worth the investment.

AMBIGUITY: The Art of Making Decisions with Half the Information

Ambiguity is what happens when the rules aren’t clear, the outcomes aren’t predictable, and no one agrees on what’s happening in the first place. It’s like trying to play chess when half the pieces are missing and the other half are actually checkers.

Maybe the government is discussing new regulations, but nobody knows what the final version will look like. Maybe your competitors are testing a new product, but it’s unclear if it’s a brilliant innovation or a financial disaster in the making.

How to deal with it:

1. Get comfortable with discomfort. If you need perfect clarity before making a decision, you’ll never make one. Ambiguity is part of leadership. Accept that some decisions will be made with incomplete data.

2. Lean on principles, not just policies. Policies tell you what to do when the situation is clear. Principles guide you when it’s not. If your board has a strong mission and clear values, those can be your North Star when ambiguity clouds everything else.

3. Be willing to course-correct. No decision is final. If new information comes in that changes the situation, don’t cling to a bad choice just to save face. Adapt, adjust, and move forward.

Final Thoughts: Thriving in VUCA

If you’ve made it this far without resigning from your board seat in frustration, congratulations. The truth is, VUCA isn’t going anywhere. Volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity are just the price of doing business in modern financial services.

But here’s the good news: credit unions are uniquely positioned to handle this chaos. Unlike big banks driven by shareholder profits, credit unions are built on community, trust, and adaptability. If you can embrace change, make informed decisions, and stay focused on your members, you’ll not only survive in a VUCA world – you might even thrive.

And if all else fails, there’s always coffee. Lots and lots of coffee. If you’ve met me, you know that this is my go-to strategy. :-) 

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